July begins for the crypto market not with euphoria, but with caution. Bitcoin lost about 20% over the month, dragging down most altcoins.
But even in a weak market, there are coins with specific events in the coming weeks. In such situations, a clear catalyst is more important than just a strong chart: a launch, a network upgrade, a fork, or an institutional story.
Why Charts Alone Are Not Enough Right Now
When the market falls, regular momentum often deceives. A coin may look strong one day, only to follow bitcoin down the next.
That’s why only major assets from the top 50 by market cap made the July list. They have enough liquidity for the move to matter, and there are events that can support market interest.
Solana, Hyperliquid, and Zcash handle this combination best. Ondo and TRON look weaker technically, but they have their own reasons to stay on the radar.
Solana Tries to Return to Its Old Channel
Solana enters July with several internal events. The ecosystem is awaiting the launch of the Jito JTX trading terminal, testing of the Alpenglow update, and further rollout of Firedancer among validators.
SOL’s price is now around $73. This is the zone where the asset is trying to return to the lower boundary of the old upward channel.
From February to May, Solana traded in a range of about $78 to $100. In early June, the structure broke and the price dropped to $62. Now the market is testing whether this drop was the start of new weakness or a false breakdown.
What Matters for SOL
The key zone for buyers is $78–80. If Solana can hold above this, the market will look again at the $88–92 area.
A plus for SOL is the recovery of the RSI from oversold to neutral levels. This shows the asset is not just bouncing, but trying to regain momentum.
The main risk is also clear. If the price fails to break $80 and drops below $62 again, the June lows could be retested.
Hyperliquid Holds the Trend Better Than Others
Hyperliquid looks like one of the strongest assets in the group. The project holds a leading position in the on-chain perpetual futures market, with a share estimated at about 70%.
Additional interest comes from HIP-3 permissionless markets and the anticipated launch of a native options market in Q3. For the HYPE token, these are important topics because they are tied not to an abstract narrative, but to product growth.
The price is around $65. After peaking near $77, the asset declined, but so far the move looks more like a pause within the trend than a full reversal.
HYPE Remains in a Strong Structure
Since the February low near $21, HYPE has been moving along an upward trendline. Even after a pullback, the structure remains neat.
Support is around $55, below that is the trend zone closer to $48. Resistance is in the $73–76 area.
If the price breaks through this upper zone, HYPE will again enter a search for new highs. The main risk is the monthly unlocks of about 10 million tokens. Buybacks partially smooth out the pressure, but the supply overhang remains.
Zcash Gets a Major Network Catalyst
Zcash enters July with the most notable technical event among this five. At the end of the month, the Ironwood upgrade, also known as Network Upgrade 7, is expected.
It should increase the throughput of shielded transactions and add a new supply audit mechanism. For ZEC, this is important because the project is again trying to strengthen its core story—privacy and network verifiability.
But the chart here is the most controversial. Previously, ZEC rose from $184 to $680, then formed a reversal structure and failed to confidently reclaim the $520–540 area.
ZEC Holds at Key Support
Zcash is now trading around $400. This is a key zone that buyers need to hold until the upgrade.
If the price reclaims $466, the bearish scenario will weaken and the market will again look at $530. But if $400 is broken, pressure may intensify, with the next zones at $317 and $240.
The main risk for ZEC is that the technical picture does not yet confirm a strong reversal. The upgrade may help, but if the market starts selling early, the fork itself may not save the price.
Ondo Holds on the Tokenization Theme
Ondo made the list not because of a strong chart. Its main argument is the institutional catalyst around asset tokenization.
The project is linked to the launch of solutions for tokenized stocks and treasury bills. The theme of real-world assets on the blockchain remains one of the few where the market sees interest from major financial players.
<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-190978" title="photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49" src="https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49.jpg" alt="ONDO's price is around $0.31. After rising to $0.49 in May, the asset began forming lower highs and has not yet broken the downward structure." width="1280" height="649" srcset="https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49.jpg 1280w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49-355×180.jpg 355w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49-400×203.jpg 400w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49-768×389.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" / alt="ONDO's price is around
.31. After rising to
.49 in May, the asset began forming lower highs and has not yet broken the downward structure.” title=”photo_2026-07-02_02-00-49″>
ONDO’s price is around $0.31. After rising to $0.49 in May, the asset began forming lower highs and has not yet broken the downward structure.
ONDO Needs a Reversal, Not Just News
Technically, ONDO looks weaker than Solana, HYPE, and Zcash. The price remains under pressure from the downward line and below the key $0.33–0.36 zone.
The nearest support is around $0.28–0.29. If a higher low forms there and the price then reclaims the trendline, the structure will improve.
The main risk is that without a timely catalyst, the market may simply continue to fall toward $0.28. So ONDO is more a bet on an event than on a confirmed trend.
TRON Tests Its Yearly Uptrend
TRON looks less explosive but more stable. The project has several moderately positive factors: the end of regulatory pressure on the fund, participation in the Mastercard partner program, and plans for a post-quantum mainnet upgrade in Q3.
<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-190979" title="photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55" src="https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55.jpg" alt="TRX's price is around $0.315. The asset is trading near the upward line that has supported the move since the February low near $0.27." width="1280" height="649" srcset="https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55.jpg 1280w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55-355×180.jpg 355w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55-400×203.jpg 400w, https://coinspot.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55-768×389.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" / alt="TRX's price is around
.315. The asset is trading near the upward line that has supported the move since the February low near
.27.” title=”photo_2026-07-02_02-00-55″>
TRX’s price is around $0.315. The asset is trading near the upward line that has supported the move since the February low near $0.27.
For TRON, the main question is whether the $0.31 zone will hold. As long as it does, the long-term structure remains alive.
TRX Needs a Held Level
Resistance for TRON is around $0.336, then near $0.352 and $0.377. If buyers hold $0.31, the market can again test these levels.
The RSI looks soft but not critical. This looks more like a cooldown than a full capitulation.
The main risk is the lack of a single strong July event. If the price closes below $0.31, the trendline will be broken and the next target could be $0.292.
Who Looks Stronger
Solana, Hyperliquid, and Zcash have the best combination of events and technical picture. SOL has a chance to reclaim its old channel, HYPE holds the cleanest uptrend, and ZEC gets a major network upgrade.
Ondo and TRON look less confident. The first depends on the tokenization theme, the second on holding long-term support and gradual institutional interest.
In a weak market, this is an important distinction. Coins with a strong event and a live chart get more chances than assets with only news or only a technical bounce.
What’s Next?
July will be a test of resilience for altcoins. If bitcoin keeps falling, even good catalysts may underperform expectations.
But if the market stabilizes, assets with specific events will have an advantage. Investors will look not for abstract promises of growth, but for coins where something real is happening in the coming weeks.
The main takeaway is simple. After BTC’s 20% drop, buying altcoins just on the chart is risky. In July, it’s more important to look at the combination of liquidity, events, and price action. Solana, Hyperliquid, and Zcash look stronger on the balance of factors, while Ondo and TRON remain more cautious bets on individual catalysts.
Read More: T-Bank Custody for Cryptocurrencies: Why the Topic Matters for the Market


