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A major wave of unlocks worth $297 million is hitting the market — traders should prepare for increased volatility

0 Reading time: 5 min. abelcopy_editor

One of the largest weeks of token unlocks for the autumn season is coming to the market. According to Tokenomist, from November 17 to 24, assets worth more than $297 million will be unlocked. A large number of new tokens will enter circulation simultaneously, which may amplify price fluctuations and create pressure on several large and medium-sized projects.

Large one-time unlocks increase supply pressure. A significant part of the upcoming emission comes from cliff unlocks — sharp, simultaneous releases. Such events traditionally exert short-term pressure on the market, especially if more than 5% of the supply is released or when assets are in the hands of early investors and funds.

Among the most notable unlocks of the week:

Date Token (Symbol) Unlock Type Tokens Unlocked Est. USD Value % of Market Cap/Supply Notes
Nov 17 Caldera (ERA) Cliff Not specified $1.70M 4.13% –
Nov 17 Zerobase (ZBT) Cliff Not specified $4.76M 16.93% –
Nov 17 Aster (ASTER) Cliff ~164.7M (est. from partial data) $147.72M (varies; other sources cite ~$85M) 5.95–8.16% Largest single event; DEX-focused project. Values differ across sources due to real-time pricing.
Nov 17 ApeCoin (APE) Vesting Not specified $5.28M 2.04% –
Nov 17 zkSync (ZK) Vesting Not specified $9.40M 2.39% –
Nov 17 Ancient8 (A8) Cliff Not specified $1.05M 6.48% –
Nov 18 Lombard (BARD) Cliff Not specified $7.97M 4.58% –
Nov 18 FC Porto (PORTO) Vesting Not specified $2.71M 24.52% Fan token; high % impact.
Nov 19 Merlin Chain (MERL) Cliff Not specified $12.70M 3.39% –
Nov 19 Pixels (PIXEL) Vesting Not specified $1.15M 2.96% –
Nov 20 Kaito (KAITO) Cliff Not specified $12.30M 6.91% AI-related project.
Nov 20 Sapien (SAPIEN) Cliff Not specified $1.23M 3.03% –
Nov 20 LayerZero (ZRO) Cliff Not specified $35.74–42.10M 12.45% Cross-chain protocol; values vary slightly by source.
Nov 21 Plume (PLUME) Cliff Not specified $7.51M 7.64% –
Nov 21 Aria.AI (ARIA) Cliff Not specified $1.48M 8.49% –
Nov 22 0G (0G) Cliff Not specified $10.93M 4.09% –
Nov 22 Space ID (ID) Vesting Not specified $1.09M 1.06% –
Nov 23 Zora (ZORA) Cliff Not specified $7.28M 3.15% –
Nov 23 Meteora (MET) Cliff Not specified $3.02M 1.49% –

Unlocks of this scale almost always lead to increased market activity and short-term fluctuations. Tokens are especially vulnerable where the percentage of new supply is high and liquidity is below average.

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Why this wave may be key for the market

Unlocks themselves are not a new factor. But this time they are happening under conditions of:

  • declining spot liquidity
  • rising derivatives volumes amid bets on declines
  • pressure from macroeconomic risks
  • heightened correction in altcoins after local October highs

The market is already showing increased nervousness. For some projects, new tokens may increase pressure if funds or early investors decide to take profits.

How traders should assess unlock risks

The impact depends on three factors:

1. Percentage of total supply.

High values (YZY, MBG, ZRO) almost always lead to increased volatility.

2. Liquidity.

ZK can absorb an unlock without significant losses if the market is not under pressure.

3. Token’s behavior during previous unlocks.

Some assets regularly fall a few days before the event but quickly recover afterward. In recent weeks, the trend has continued: short-term selling often occurs 48–72 hours before the unlock, not after it.

A week of heightened attention

With $297 million in upcoming unlocks, the market is entering a phase where any increase in sell-offs among major assets can quickly trigger a chain reaction.

On the other hand, active traders use unlocks as an entry point for short-term trades, especially if highly liquid tokens fall without fundamental reasons. The next seven days will show how ready the market is to absorb increased supply amid unstable demand.

Read more: Arthur Hayes sells crypto amid volatility

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