The cryptocurrency and Forex forecast for the week of June 29 to July 3, 2026 covers key currency pairs, the dollar index, the ruble, major crypto assets, metals, energy resources, and stock indices.
The focus this week:
- US Dollar
- Euro
- Pound Sterling
- Yen
- Bitcoin
- Ethereum
- Ripple
- Gold
- Brent Oil
- Russian Market Dynamics
Key Benchmarks of the Week
The currency market approaches the new week with important technical zones for the dollar, euro, franc, yen, and ruble. For investors and traders, this is a period when breakouts or false breakouts of historical levels can set the direction for several assets at once.
On the crypto market, cryptocurrency remains under pressure: Bitcoin has settled below strong supports, Ethereum is testing an important zone, and there is still a risk of further decline for altcoins. At the same time, the overall picture depends not only on technical levels but also on sentiment around the United States, Federal Reserve policy, and risk appetite.
On Forex and the crypto market, one signal rarely decides everything: levels, trend, news, liquidity, and position risk are best assessed together.
Forex: Dollar, Euro, Pound, and Ruble
Before the week, it is useful to quickly check key zones for major currency pairs and indices:
- EUR/USD: key level — historical resistance at 1.1415; scenario — if there is no consolidation above and a false breakout appears, the pair may reverse to 1.1315 and 1.1240; comment — for the euro, this is one of the main zones of the week.
- GBP/USD: key level — resistance at 1.3260; scenario — new selling may occur from this area; comment — previously, after a reaction from 1.3260, the pound sterling fell to 1.3175–1.3140.
- USD/CHF: key level — historical support at 0.8090; scenario — false breakouts of this zone may bring back buyers and push the price to 0.8150–0.8200; comment — the franc is at an important demand area.
- USD/JPY: key level — historical resistance at 161.70; scenario — the zone may again stop growth and reverse the movement downward; comment — the yen has reached an important point for the market.
- DXY Dollar Index: key zone — supports at 101–100.35; scenario — from these levels, there is a high probability of growth to 101.60–102.65; comment — DXY dynamics are important for most currency pairs.
- USD/RUB: key zone — 75.50–76.00; scenario — consolidation above opens the way to the long-term downward trendline in the area of 80.50–81.00; comment — the ruble remains sensitive to breakouts of historical levels.
- CNY/RUB: key level — historical support at 10.85; scenario — holding above increases the chances of growth to 11.70–12.00; comment — the pair retains upward potential.
Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, and Altcoins
The picture for major crypto assets remains tense, and the key levels are as follows:
- Bitcoin: key zone — 62900–60800; scenario — breaking these supports has intensified the decline and opened the way to 54000–49000; comment — these areas serve as global accumulation zones.
- Ethereum: key level — historical support at 1530; scenario — from this zone, the market in previous cycles rebounded upward and moved toward growth to 4800; comment — the reaction to support remains important for the entire crypto market.
- Ripple XRP: key level — support at 1.0940; scenario — after the breakout, the price continues to decline to the area around 1.0000; comment — the next significant zone is below the current range.
- Solana: key zone — resistance at 74–78.30; scenario — from these levels, there is a high probability of a new decline to 67.60–62.10; comment — sellers are still holding the upper area.
- Uniswap UNI: key zone — resistance at 3.40–3.00; scenario — as long as the market remains below, a move to 2.40–2.25 is likely; comment — there was no breakout of resistance.
- Gram TON: key level — support at 1.50; scenario — if broken, the next target may be historical support at 1.20; comment — the price is approaching an important risk zone.
The TOTAL3 index has fallen below historical support at 661. Such a signal increases the likelihood of a sharp drop in altcoins. Against this backdrop, investors should pay particular attention to risk across the broad crypto market, including assets like Litecoin.
Metals and Energy Resources: Gold, Silver, Brent, and Gas
XAU/USD is correcting into the resistance area of 4200–4325. From here, there is a high probability of the downward trend continuing. Gold remains one of the main safe-haven assets of the week, but the technical picture does not yet give a confident signal for a reversal upward.
XAG/USD is also moving toward resistance at 64.10–68.00. If sellers hold these levels, silver may continue to decline.
Brent oil failed to break resistance at 81.50 and began to turn downward confidently. The nearest downside targets are supports at 70, 67, and 63. Oil prices remain an important factor for commodity currencies and overall market sentiment.
Natural gas broke resistance at 3.25. This increases the likelihood of further growth to 3.40–3.50.
Stock Indices: US and Russian Market
The S&P 500 index is testing key support at 7365. Previously, this zone already stopped the decline and sent the market upward to resistance at 7500–7610. For those considering investments in the US market, this area remains one of the main ones.
The Nasdaq index is trading near support at 28800. This level has already twice turned the price upward to resistance at 20650.
The RTS index broke historical support at 970. After that, the downward trend intensified, and the next targets became 925, 890, and 830.
The MOEX index also fell below historical support at 2375. This increases the likelihood of further decline to 2185–2130.
A stock as a financial instrument in such periods requires especially strict position control: with high volatility, technical levels may be worked out quickly, and false breakouts become part of the market picture.
What to Choose for Trading: Forex or Cryptocurrencies
The choice between Forex and cryptocurrencies depends on experience, trade horizon, risk tolerance, and usual trading mode. Forex is often chosen for high liquidity in major currency pairs and a more understandable reaction to macroeconomic events. Cryptocurrencies attract with strong movements and 24/7 trading, but require stricter risk control.
- Liquidity: on Forex, the most liquid instruments are EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/RUB, and CNY/RUB; on the crypto market, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple XRP, Solana, Uniswap UNI, Gram TON, and Litecoin are most often analyzed.
- Volatility: cryptocurrencies usually move more sharply, so potential returns and risks are higher there.
- Operating hours: Forex is active on weekdays, while cryptocurrencies trade without weekends.
- Regulation: the currency market depends more on central bank policy and macroeconomics, while the crypto market depends on sentiment, news, liquidity, and risk appetite.
- Selection factors: capital size, acceptable drawdown, speed of market reaction, experience with volatility, and understanding of the specific instrument.
Investing in cryptocurrency now is only advisable with the current technical picture in mind: Bitcoin has already broken strong supports, Ethereum is testing an important zone, and there is still a risk of further decline for altcoins. Before buying, it is better to determine the risk level, holding horizon, and exit scenario in advance.
How to Forecast Forex and Cryptocurrencies
To forecast prices, several approaches are usually combined, because one indicator rarely gives a sustainable advantage.
- Technical analysis: support and resistance levels, trendlines, breakouts, false breakouts, and price reaction near historical zones.
- Fundamental analysis: central bank decisions, inflation, employment, interest rates, US news, and overall risk appetite.
- Indicators: DXY dollar index, volumes, volatility, moving averages, and other tools that help assess the strength of movement.
- Economic calendar: it is better to track important publications in advance, as they can sharply intensify movement in currencies, gold, oil, and indices.
- News: for cryptocurrencies, events around major assets, investor sentiment, and market reaction to risk are especially important.
- Where to follow analytics: daily forecasts are usually published in economic calendars, broker reviews, crypto exchange analytics, specialized financial media, and news feeds.
- Main risks: high volatility, false breakouts, slippage, leverage, sharp news, lack of liquidity in certain assets, and emotional decisions.
Final Outlook for the Week
The main scenario for the week is built around testing strong levels for the dollar, ruble, cryptocurrencies, gold, oil, and stock indices. For short-term trades, reactions to supports and resistances are important, and for medium-term decisions — confirmation of breakouts and market behavior near historical zones.
A more detailed cryptocurrency and Forex forecast for June 29 – July 3, 2026 is based on three key elements:
- Level Analysis
- Trend Dynamics
- Probable Movement Scenarios
