Hyperliquid Launches Prediction Markets and Moves Beyond Futures

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Hyperliquid is taking a new step beyond the perpetual futures market. The platform has launched its own prediction markets for real-world events, where users can trade outcomes of macroeconomic and other external events directly within the existing trading infrastructure.

The first markets will be tied to the May U.S. Consumer Price Index and the June Fed rate decision. This is an important signal: Hyperliquid wants to compete not only with decentralized exchanges, but also with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Prediction Markets Built Directly Into the Trading System

The new markets run on HIP-4 and use USDC from Circle as the settlement asset. This means traders do not need to transfer capital to a separate platform to trade event outcomes.

Users can work with prediction markets alongside spot and perpetual futures. For Hyperliquid, this is a logical expansion: the same liquidity, one interface, and a broader set of tools.

Platform validators will run automated software for the news feed, publish markets, and vote for their launch and settlement. This approach should make the system more integrated into Hyperliquid’s own infrastructure, rather than dependent on an external operator.

First Bets Tied to Inflation and the Fed

The choice of the first markets is telling. CPI and the Fed’s decision now directly affect bitcoin, stocks, bonds, and the entire risk market.

In fact, Hyperliquid is immediately entering a segment where demand is already proven. Traders actively trade expectations for inflation, rates, and macroeconomics, because these events move markets faster than many crypto news stories.

If liquidity appears quickly, Hyperliquid can capture part of the audience from standalone prediction markets. Especially from users who already trade futures on the platform and do not want to move funds to another service.

Hyperliquid Is Becoming a Financial Application

Delphi Digital previously wrote that Hyperliquid is gradually moving beyond a typical perpetual futures exchange. The launch of prediction markets reinforces this thesis.

The platform is trying to become not just a place to trade crypto pairs, but a full-fledged on-chain environment for different asset classes and events. In one stack, you can have futures, spot, macroeconomic markets, real-world assets, and prediction contracts.

This is exactly the kind of analytics model called an on-chain super app. That is, not a wallet with many functions, but a large trading platform where users can solve several financial tasks at once.

HYPE Gets a New Narrative Again

The HYPE token has already become one of the strongest assets of 2026. Since the beginning of the year, it has risen by more than 134%, while the total crypto market capitalization has dropped by about 14%.

The HYPE token has already become one of the strongest assets of 2026. Since the beginning of the year, it has risen by more than 134%, while the total crypto market capitalization has dropped by about 14%.

The market sees the launch of prediction markets as another argument for a higher valuation of Hyperliquid. In February, when the platform first announced plans to add such a feature, HYPE jumped by about 20%.

Now the idea has become a real product. This changes the perception of the token: it is now valued not only as an asset of a decentralized futures exchange, but also as a bet on the expansion of the entire trading ecosystem.

Bitwise Says HYPE Is Undervalued

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan previously called HYPE one of the most mispriced assets in the crypto market. In his opinion, investors still see Hyperliquid too narrowly, as a platform for futures.

Hougan believes the platform is already closer to a financial super app, where you can access different markets and asset classes without intermediaries from the traditional financial system.

If this assessment proves correct, the launch of prediction markets could become one of the key steps in Hyperliquid’s expansion.

Fees Confirm Growth in Activity

The platform’s fundamentals also remain strong. According to DeFiLlama, Hyperliquid is among the top five protocols by weekly fees and earned more than $11 million in the past seven days.

For the month up to May 10, the platform’s revenue was about $50.95 million. An important detail: these funds went to token holders, not to incentive programs.

This sets Hyperliquid apart from many DeFi projects, where growth is often supported by subsidies, giveaways, and temporary rewards. Here, the market sees a real stream of fees from trading activity.

Competition With Polymarket Will Get Tougher

The launch of prediction markets puts Hyperliquid on par with standalone forecasting platforms. Polymarket has already proven demand for trading event outcomes, especially in politics, macroeconomics, and sports.

But Hyperliquid has the advantage of an already active trader base. Platform users are used to leverage, futures, fast trading, and USDC settlements.

If prediction markets are liquid, Hyperliquid could become a more versatile platform for active traders who care not only about the events themselves, but also about execution speed.

What’s Next?

The launch of prediction markets shows that Hyperliquid is rapidly expanding the boundaries of its model. The platform is no longer limited to perpetual futures and is gradually building a full-fledged on-chain infrastructure for trading different types of risk.

The main question now is liquidity and trust in outcome settlement. If the validator model and news infrastructure can reliably determine event results, the product will have a chance to grow quickly.

For HYPE, this is a new test. If prediction markets start generating fees and retaining users within the ecosystem, the token could cement its status as one of the main infrastructure bets of the current cycle.

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